What happens if China invades Taiwan?

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2022-02-26に共有
The next invasion?
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What happens if China invades Taiwan? Here’s how the start of World War 3 might go down.

For this video I leaned on some excellent interviews and research form:
Oriana Skylar Mastro: fsi.stanford.edu/people/oriana-skylar-mastro
Michael O’Hanlon: www.brookings.edu/experts/michael-e-ohanlon/

Also, Reuters did a similar speculative piece using some really compelling visuals: www.reuters.com/investigates/special-report/taiwan…

Ian Easton’s research using PLA internal documents was a strong foundation for my reporting on this: project2049.net/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/Chinas-…

Excellent data gathering and analysis by Gerald C. Brown at FPRI: docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qbfYF0VgDBJoFZN5el…

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Johnny Harris is a filmmaker and journalist. He currently is based in Washington, DC, reporting on interesting trends and stories domestically and around the globe. Johnny's visual style blends motion graphics with cinematic videography to create content that explains complex issues in relatable ways. He holds a BA in international relations from Brigham Young University and an MA in international peace and conflict resolution from American University.

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コメント (21)
  • You can bet the Chinese government is gauging the worlds reaction and response to the Ukrainian crisis as we watch this video. Thanks for another informative and interesting video Johnny.
  • Russia attacking Ukraine is making me worry as a Taiwanese that China might try the same thing depending on the outcome of how NATO reacts to the attack.
  • Johnny, Joshua here...I write books about Taiwan and was living there in the summer of 1995 (and well after). I liked your analysis. It was both well thought out and humble in that you saw clearly the point in which speculation ceases to be productive. Thanks for making this. JSB.
  • @supapi913
    Now you can assume the title "What happens if US invades Texas?"
  • It's worth mentioning that Taiwan houses the majority of the world's semiconductor fabrication. If you thought COVID disrupted the supply chain, you haven't seen anything yet.
  • "We live in a different era" This is a very scary thought as someone who grown up through an era of peace thinking that it will last forever.
  • Legally speaking, the Chinese Civil War haven't ended yet. It has lasted for decades, since 1946, when the KMT suddenly attacked CPC controlled area disregarding the fact that Mao and Chiang had signed a treaty called "Double Ten Agreement". The agreement expressed the idea that KMT and CPC would unite together and set up a new state. After KMT attacked Shandong and Shaanxi, both under CPC controll, CPC decided to attack KMT to liberate the whole country. People under the reign of KMT had been suffering for decades, so they welcomed the PLA warmly. The KMT, due to failure in the mainland, had to escape to Taiwan with the illusion that they could counterattack on the mainland. Though both the people under CPC and KMT reign agreed that they are Chinese, the current government of Taiwan are deleting ancient literature from the textbook, making old Taiwanese upset."When I close my eyes, I can see the beuatiful scenes of Dongting Lake, thinking of Fan Zhongyan's article. Only when I step onto the land of Wuhan, of Xi'an, of Beijing, I can feel the vastness of Dongting Lake, the majesty of the Terracotta Army, and the magnificence of the Forbidden City." This is what a Taiwanese told me. Taiwan is politically "independent" from PRC, but nationally closely connected with Chinese nation. That is why the CPC is not trying to "invade" Taiwan, instead liberating them.
  • I'd really appreciate a list of your videos in the order you produced them. I'm seeing two-year-old videos and then one that's a year old. I'll just watch whatever I see until I see that you've done that. Thanks Johnny.
  • Fun fact: US Navy has more presence in the Black Sea, Med, and off the shores of China than we ever did near the oceans and seas of the Middle East. The Cold War never truly ended. It just went classified, and got less front page news.
  • @luckless8
    I really appreciate the disclaimer cautioning against romanticizing conflict.
  • One listen. Immediately subscribed. You are that good bro, kudos
  • @w4rr0ck_svcks
    Your videos are truly amazing. The production value is top notch, it really feels like a documentary. You’re seriously one of the best and interesting YouTubers out there.
  • Throughout my time living in Japan the spectre of an invasion of Taiwan has lingered over daily news here - particularly after Xi came to power. On the one hand, east Asia feels remarkably peaceful and safe, and then suddenly North Korea fires a missile over the Pacific, a hawkish Chinese commentator declares it’s time to take Taiwan by force or a disputed island gets surrounded by Japanese and a Chinese naval vessels. Watching Ukraine unfold with horror made me realise not to take this relatively peaceful time for granted in East Asia, as it could all go horribly wrong incredibly fast. (Great video as always mate. The ominous soundtrack alone made me cower in fear).
  • @No44778
    "War always escalates" Very important to keep in mind.
  • @geo8367
    My favorite parts are when you stepped back and reanalyzed your thoughts. There are clearly so many solutions other than war.
  • @ganstery1
    Your content is spot on , keep up the good work I support your videos 100 percent . I am a disabled vet and find it refreshing when someone does their homework . I love this and all your vids really.
  • I have a new video coming soon explaining the Russian invasion into Ukraine now that it's happening. Stay tuned and subscribe to get notified when it comes out. Also if you live in Ukraine I really want to include your voice in my upcoming video. I'm collecting accounts of what people are seeing and feeling. Go to my instagram and send me a video instagram.com/johnny.harris/
  • @SoniasWay
    “War always escalates” A very important thing to keep in mind