Economic Insights: Ed Hyman's Annual Forecast [2024]
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Published 2023-12-08
#investingstrategy #inflation #recession
WEALTHTRACK episode 2024 broadcast on December 08, 2023
00:00 Hello
00:50 Introduction
02:40 Interview with Ed Hyman
22:05 One Investment
24:00 Action Point
More Info: wealthtrack.com/wall-streets-longtime-1-economist-…
Bookshelf: Leadership: Six Studies in World Strategy
amzn.to/48cxEsZ
All Comments (21)
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Always a delight. Two of my favorite people chatting.
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Enjoyed your show for years great guests Ed is the best
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Thank you for bringing on Ed again
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Ed Hyman is a national treasure to investors, Happy Holidays to your program and Ed Hyman.
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Fine show. Predicting the future isn't easy. I'm on the optimistic side. Advances in AI should lead to productivity boosts and higher GDP at lower costs.
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Thanks!
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been listening to you I don't know too long since nightly business news on pbs anyways love all you have done for us
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"The New York Fed's quarterly Household Debt and Credit Survey (HHDC) shows that total consumer debt stands at $17.29 trillion as of the third quarter of 2023. That's a record high." A breaking point? Rates on consumer debt?
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very logical person.
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"It's lovely to know when there's recession. I don't remember anybody predicting 1982 we're going to have 14 percent inflation, 12 percent unemployment, a 20 percent prime rate, you know, the worst recession since the Depression. I don't remember any of that being predicted. It just happened. It was there. It was ugly. And I don't remember anybody telling me about it. So I don't worry about any of that stuff. I've always said if you spend 13 minutes a year on economics, you've wasted 10 minutes." ~ Peter Lynch
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Interest rates aren't lowering inflation as much as supply chain correcting itself after covid.
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Rents are slowing ...where ? in Kentucky or Tyroneville?
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What is the WealthTrack theme music?
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So, BlackRock are right about the AI mega force? Tfw didn't buy Nvidia at $200.
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Two errors in the first five minutes! First, CPI-U was 3.2 at the end of October, but the Fed doesn't prefer that measure... it focuses on CPE, and that's at 3.5% YoY -- but PCE hasn't moved all that much lately, and at it's current pace will take a while to get to 2%. Second, it's "base" effect, not "basis" effect... words matter. Can't see myself staying subscribed.
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If you visit Australia make sure you get a haircut first as our Reserve Bank Boss says haircuts and visits to the dentist are causing a spike in inflation - Not Joking, lol.
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Consuelo can't wait for this interview to end. Don't worry, were all dying. 😢
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"The economy is in good shape by every measure including housing"! Somehow I find that hard to believe! 😐
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Wow for 9 days we have bull market. Ed called it
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Sorry, but I gotta disagree with Ed here. There's NO WAY we're seeing SIX interest rate cuts next year. I think we'll probably only see 2 cuts of 25 basis points and that won't be until late 3rd or early 4th quarter next year. I think he's getting a bit long in the tooth here. Sorry, but from now on I think I'll be taking what he says with quite a few grains of salt.