The World Record Nobody Thought Could Fall

To be completely honest, I think Noah has a real shot at breaking the 200m world record. I like Noah, but this won’t be easy. He will need a perfect day, a perfect start, and his legendary close. As for the 100m, I think we can all agree that it will take longer to fall. Lyles would need to start running his first 60 in the 6.3 range if he wants that record. Technically it’s still possible, as we’ve seen many impossible performances before, but he will have to work very hard and consistently to have any chance of achieving it.

With Tebogo And lyles. We have athletes that genuinely have a chance.

I think for Lyles to break the 200m record, he’d have to skip out on the 100. I can’t see him breaking it after going through 3 rounds of the 100 as well.

just 1 month left until bolts 100m is the longest standing 100m record ever

Do also remember that Bolt did this after running five (5) races including a world record of 9.58. Blake did 19.26 at the diamond league, not much pressure…

I'm calling it now, Bolt's 200m record will not be touched by Lyles or anybody else for that matter. Not anytime soon. I'd like to be proven wrong, so good luck

Lyles and Tobogo pushing each other to history

I wouldn't rule out Letsile Tobogo being right there with him. When you look at how much he has improved his 300/400m times and they were his first two races of the season, although admittedly compared with his first two races of last season. Either way, big improvements.

I want to see Tebogo and Knighton as they grow, improve and reach their prime

The point you keep missing when making these videos is that of the 200 meters. When you run a 9.92 first 100 meters putting that much impact on your body it’s most definitely going to be harder to close in 9.16 or lower. Lyles, yohan, Michael Johnson all had a faster close because they ran the first 100 way slower and had the energy to finish super fast.

The 200m is beatable, the 100m record is invincible for now. I think Tebogo has the biggest chance out of anyone to break the 200m. A 19.50 at his age plus besting Bolt, Michael Johnson, & Wayde Van Niekerk in the 300m shows that he's the real deal. Bolt's 200m is also into a headwind which helps make it more possible to beat, if Bolt had no wind he'd be closer to 19.16 & with a 1.0~2.0 m/s tailwind I think that would equate to a sub 19.10. So while I think his 200m WR is beatable, the new WR when it happens will still be less of a feat than Bolt's WR if we add in the factor of wind (unless they go sub 19.10 with a tailwind or beat his 19.19 with no wind/a headwind). If the 200 falls my guess would be Tebogo as the most likely, then Lyles, then Knighton. For Lyles to open in 10.00 or 10.05 & be able to finish strong I think he'd need to be at worst a low 9.7x 100m runner. Bolt at 9.58 opened at 9.92. So for Lyles to open at the same percent of full speed he'd need to be a 9.66 runner to do a 10.00 opener, a 9.71 runner to do a 10.05 opener. Going from 6.51 to 6.43 implies that Lyles can take 0.08 off his 100m with a better start, so a 9.75 instead of 9.83 which would be HUGE as that would put him ahead of Coleman, Kerley, & Bromell & he'd be the 6th fastest all-time, but even then it's not quite fast enough to beat Bolt's 19.19 even with Lyles great speed endurance. He'd need to be very very close to Tyson Gay/Yohan Blake 100m & combine that with his speed endurance to pull it off. I don't see him making huge improvements like this since he's already at peak age, so for now I'm sticking with Tebogo has the best shot in the years to come. Edit: To make predictions I think Lyles will run a 9.75~9.78 100m this season. I actually don't think he'll beat his 19.31, that race seems like an outlier as Lyles improved his 60m & 100m when focusing on that from 2022 to 2023, however this means less time to focus on 200m, so his best performance dropped from a 19.31 to a 19.47. I think Lyles will get a 19.39 this year & that MAY be the world lead, however I think it's possible Tebogo runs faster than 19.39 so I think Tebogo will have the world lead this year, but it won't be a WR, not yet.

19.19 is as safe as a newborn baby in his loving mother's arms. Lyles isn't running 19.2x.

As I've said before, Noah is one of those athletes that can "sustain speed"... Basically, "slow down slower." Some athletes have a greater nack for it (ETH & S. Richardson) whilst others have to revamp their entire sprinting process to get it (SAFP). Ok for anyone interested to learn, train using longer distances (200m and 300m) for conditioning. Also, focus, relax and control your breathing.

I have a feeling this is the season we realise it's Tebogo's world and we're just living in it

9:42 You made a miscalculation. He ran 9.16 in the closing half so it would be 19.21

19.30 might be Lyle's very best. Tebogo however...

I neither do nor follow track & field, but I love your videos. Keep it up man!

Lyles is a mad man. I really do think he could get a time of 19.10 if he stays healthy

I think Tebogo is the rising star of the future. He runs with the effortless grace of a gazelle and is still very young.

None of these athletes will break the WR but it's a good conversation to have