PAKISTAN | War with Iran?

Published 2024-01-26
In January 2024, tensions flared between Iran and Pakistan after a series of retaliatory strikes against Baloch insurgents along their shared border. Despite a history of good relations, this escalation has raised concerns of a potential major conflict between the neighbouring nations amid growing instability in the Middle East and surrounding areas.

Iran and Pakistan are located at the crossroads of the Middle East and South Asia. Despite their different ethnolinguistic and religious backgrounds, they share a history of cultural exchanges and cooperation dating back centuries. However, tensions have recently emerged. These have been centred on Pakistan's ties with Azerbaijan and Iran's support for Shia militant groups in the Middle East. Additionally, bilateral issues, such as a stalled gas pipeline project and the escalating Baloch insurgency, have further strained relations. Spanning Iran, Pakistan, and Afghanistan, the Balochistan conflict traces its origins back to the partition of India in 1947. Economic neglect, religious persecution, and the presence of militant groups have fuelled this ongoing conflict, leading to attacks on security forces in Pakistan and Iran. However, despite cooperating in the past, tensions have recently grown as both governments accused each other of failing to control the insurgent groups along their porous border. In January 2024, Iran conducted preemptive drone and missile strikes against alleged insurgent targets in Pakistan, prompting Pakistan's retaliation. While diplomatic efforts resulted in a de-escalation, underlying issues and regional instability continue to challenge their relationship, raising concerns about future flashpoints along the border.

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VIDEO CHAPTERS
00:00 Introduction and Titles
00:41 Insurgencies and International Relations
02:09 Iran and Pakistan: Location and Population
03:04 The Historical Relationship between Iran and Pakistan
04:37 Iranian-Pakistani Relations: Afghanistan to the Present
05:50 Growing Tensions Between Iran and Pakistan
06:56 The Balochi People in Iran, Pakistan and Afghanistan
07:49 The Roots of the Balochi Insurgency in Pakistan
11:18 January 2024 Iran-Pakistan Crisis
13:41 An Iran-Pakistan Conflict?

SOURCES AND FURTHER READING
Pakistan Ministry of Foreign Affairs
mofa.gov.pk/
Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs
en.mfa.ir/
Iran-Pakistan | 1950 Treaty of Friendship
treaties.un.org/doc/Publication/UNTS/Volume%20161/…

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#Iran #Pakistan #Balochistan

All Comments (21)
  • @JamesKerLindsay
    The recent crisis between Iran and Pakistan was a really interesting development. The two countries have historically had an extremely close and friendly relationship. However, the tension over ongoing Baloch insurgencies appeared to push them over the edge and spark a military tit-for-tat strike. But is this just a one-off incident that will soon be forgotten? Or is part of a deeper friction between the two countries tied to broader international developments in the Middle East and beyond? As always, I look forward to hearing your thoughts and comments below.
  • @syedalamzeb
    As an ethnic Pasthoon and born in that region from the Pakistan side, I am really impressed by the way you presented this in a comprehensive and in a non controversial manner. You have earned a subscriber.
  • Who drew borders in the Middle East, it was the English without taking into account people groups like the Kurds who are treated unfairly! Unresolved conflict left only suffering. I am not a Kurd, but there is love for Kurds.Thanks James!
  • @Imrankhan-pw4ow
    As a Pakistani the Iranians and the bloch are both our brothers, this conflict is artifical, it'sfunded and supported by foreigners to make us fight.
  • I am going to be honest to say that while i expected many things this year, i did not expect this
  • I've been waiting for all the geopolitical analysts I follow in YouTube to cover this issue. Nothing in days. Finally, it's been you, professor. Thank you.
  • @peterkops6431
    Always super informative! Look forward to each new release!
  • Iran and Pakistan are never allies, especially given Saudi Arabia’s enormous weight inside Pakistani politics, so close relationship is a misnomer. Iran has even designed plans for Pakistan in case there is a war because there is a huge lack of trust between them. Let’s not forget there are a lot of stories in Pakistan that its Shia population is being recruited by Iran to go to war in the Middle East, with some returning home to spread Iranian ideology. Since the Pakistani government has long been influenced by Saudi, Pakistan has been cracking down on Shias very hard, further escalating Iranian attempts to spread its version there. The only difference is, Iran needs Pakistan to stay neutral, perhaps attributed to Pakistan having nukes. Meanwhile Pakistan also wants Iranian neutrality in conflict with India. Simply put, their relations are not built on friendship, but with manageable suspicion. Until now.
  • @OYT95
    I'm from Pakistan, and I can tell you that Pakistan and Iran are not enemies. Just like Pakistan establishment (Mil/ISI) there is also an Iranian establishment (IRGC) which sometimes overturn decisions by civilian government.
  • @Ash-ih4rz
    I Must confess this video to me feels highly accurate, effective, informative and un biased. You seem to have earned a subscriber please continue your work on the path of the truth!
  • @baspagrey1545
    So many conflicts around the world Yemen - Houthis Iran-Pakistan Guyana-Venezuela Ukraine-Russia China-Taiwan Myanmar civil war Sudan civil war DRC-Rwanda Israel-Palestine
  • @theromanorder
    This was a really really helpful video when many others just hurt my head... Would love to see one on Afghan and there relationship with the 2 nations,
  • @MyKarur
    Another excellent commentary James. In my view this hostility between pakistan and Iran has been simmering for a long time. Iran, a shia country has known that Sunni Pakistan, has always sided with Sunni Arabs and the delicate balance has been possible only because both countries have formidable Milataries and do not wish a direct confrontation. But, until this faccade, both have been quietly supporting opposition and dissent in each other's countries. The cnage has come because, an independent Afghanistan has a a border issue with Pakistan along the Durrand line and Iran is fishing in these waters. Equally, Pakistan is supporting Sunni dissent in Iran. Therefore, all this talk about Islamic solidarity only is against the west but internal fissures are plenty
  • @wallenbergphoto
    I am so very happy to find a objective informative channel on conflict, and statehood. Thank you professor. With interest from / sweden
  • @sk-4464
    well done James, this is quite accurate.
  • @MartinMartinm
    Professor gives the best international analysis. Right on topic and interesting.
  • @aftabaskari9340
    Best channel 👍👌.. I liked your work, effort and research. Great Job.