Why Spain's Socialist Party Won the Catalan Elections

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Published 2024-05-14
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On Sunday, Catalonia held regional elections that saw separatist parties fail to secure a majority in what is a significant win for PM Pedro Sanchez. So in this video, we'll break down these results and what they mean for the future of Spanish politics.

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1 - en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Podemos_(Spanish_political_p…)
2 - en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Spanish_regional_leg…
3 - www.politico.eu/article/spains-socialist-party-win…

All Comments (21)
  • @Rolodzeo
    I disagree with the message on this video, I really don't think Spain's going back to a two-party predominance. Both PP and PSOE are waaaay off from forming a majority goverment just by themselves, just look at the most recent elections' results.
  • @Idc1421
    Analysis of each partie: PSC (federalist centre-left): biggest winner. With its massive win in the urban areas, specially in the Barcelona's area, they are the only ones who can form a non-nationalist government in decades, but probably they still need the support of some catalan separatist partie Junts (separatist centre-right): pyrrhic victory, it is true Puigdemont has become again in the leader of separatist movement, but the total sum of independentist has fallen a lot, and a big part of their voters have chosen the abstention. The decade of the "proces" has passed and his speech seems to have lost significance ERC (separatist centre-left): biggest loser. The polarization strategy of the PSC and junts, together with their mismanagement in their legislature, has devoured them and has lost many votes, which have gone to the other two parties. It is important to say that a part of their voters are not fully convinced independentists and are also supporters of the psc PP (unionist centre-right) : winner. They have absorbed the voters of the extinct Ciudadanos, but they have captured much more votes from other parties. Still, they are not strong enough to be decisive but they have achieved great growth Vox (unionist (far) right wing): They remain and are not decisive, but taking into account that the PP has grown so much without taking away any seats, which would be normal, I would say that it is almost a victory. Its base seems strong in this region, and the same cannot be said for other Comuns (left wing, federalist): it is a bad result but could have been worse. The concentration of the vote in the PSC, as is already happening throughout Spain in general, seems to be slowly damaging them due to the lack of their own profile compared to the great left-wing party CUP (far left separatist): very bad result, without a doubt their voters have opted for puigdemont or abstention to a large extent, the widely distributed vote also harms them with the D'Hondt system AC (far right separatist): The new far-right party that joins the reactionary wave in Europe has entered parliament, but with little force, although they were very close to reaching 3% of the vote in Barcelona. Its base is still small but could grow more given the weakness of other pro-independence parties and the winds of change in Europe.
  • @tefky7964
    Socialists allied with separatists while center right allies with more radical right wing parties? This gave some "Homage to Catalonia" flashbacks 🥲
  • Make your mind up TLDR. One week you say it’s on the rise, the next it’s dead in the water
  • @polbragulat8012
    Impossible to fully understand the situation wihtout analysisng the 900 K abstentionism, asking of which portion of it were independentist voters refusing to vote the Indy parties. Participation in these elections were one of the lowest in the last 15/20 years, only surpassed by the Covid 19 elections.
  • The funniest thing is that catalan nationalist far right is forming
  • @Juan_Dystopian
    Is this video about Spanish general elections or Catalan elections? Very little about Catalan politics. In this election the popular vote has been with the non independentist side for the first time in several decades. Due to lack of motivation from part of the traditional independentist voters, despite having several options, from far left to far right parties that are pro secession
  • @akorus_master
    After faillled referendum, Quebec saw increase for the liberals. Catalans are in similar situations. It is a slump, plus having leaders in exile is quite a handicap. Opinion and identity are two different things, catalanism will never go away. Right now Catalans are sort of grateful of the appeasement bringed by socialists. They may start to vote different depending on what Madrid do.
  • @mab9614
    All of the pro-independence parties, regardless of left or right, received more than 40% of the vote share tho… The PSOE should celebrate but still be mindful of them. TLDR, you should make a video about Belgium’s upcoming federal election. Edit: Regardless, Sánchez is still tied to the Junts in Madrid until at least 2027.
  • @maiki947
    I live near Barcelona and, right now, the only politician I would like is someone that can fix Rodalies. I know that's a lot to ask, but dreaming is always free.
  • @carlosroura7581
    I'm sorry but, what you said regarting the 2 party system is WRONG. That is not applicable in Catalonia or the Basque Country. There, the government was only in the hands of one of the 2 big Spanish parties for a very brief period of time (2009-2012 in the basque country and 2003-2010 in Catalonia) and due to coallitions with local parties, while for the rest of history both regions were governed by a regional party The 2 biggest Spannish parties had always to contend with (and most times lose against) strong regional parties in those places and it will always be the case, since those 2 places are so different than the rest of Spain that the population thinks differently and even the 2 biggest parties adapt their programmes there and make them different to their policies in the rest of Spain
  • @Hugo_Mendez
    It was the first time that I saw you talk in a video, and you did really good!
  • @tendrillion3580
    Catalonia's independence has been a whole meme from way before it became an international entertainment topic, here in Spain it resurfaces every few years. It's a pipe dream that some catalan politicians use to gain power while knowing it's never gonna happen, mainly because it's not feasible and half the people there would either revolt or move out.
  • @EclipseZer0
    -No mention about how Puigdemont could make Sánchez's gobernment fall in Madrid if he isn't given the Catalan presidency. -Almost no time talking about whether the independence movement is dead or not and why did pro-independence parties fall in general. -Way too much time talking about bipartidism, something that has little to do with Catalonia in particular. -No mention on how and why did ERC (Catalan center-left) fall so much. -No mention to the rise of both the right in general (the left fell 11 seats) and hard-right Catalan independists either, which is surprising in such a leftist region like Catalonia. Why are TLDR videos about Spain so...bad? They focus on the wrong things, explain things poorly, or get things wrong straight up. And this video is actually one of the better TLDR videos about Spain, and still focused on random stuff instead of the elections, its effects on Spanish politics and on the independence movement.
  • @Paupsv
    I think this video does not take into account where did the vote go when the big parties started to not dominate the parlament. Despite being mentioned, Ciudadanos took a lot of the votes that would have gone to PP/VOX or PSOE, and I feel that the disappapearance explains far better the uprise of PP in the Catalan elections than the two party system making a big return. The other main reason that explains Catalans parlament result is the high absention when comparing with the election where the separatist had a majority, in 2021 and 2017, which is the main catalan way to punish the incompetence of ERC last legislature (in contrast of the slight aument of puigdemonts Junts+). In conclusion, I think your video ommits some important facts (Cs dissapearance and abstention) but you drew a logical conclusion from an incompleted picture which could be addressed. Great video tho ;)
  • @jamesevans1890
    There was a clear readjustment among the Left - from ERC to the Socialists, but Junts itself did very well, eclipsing ERC as the leading independence party. Also of note is that there was a noticeable shift to the Right - the Left/Far Left lost 9 seats and the Right/Far Right gained 9 seats in the 135 seat parliament, a swing of 18 seats.
  • @Reazzurro90
    Maybe the more prudent thing to say it is temporarily on hold. It's likely true that people want to move on from the 2017 crisis at this time, but to suggest that separatism is dead will come back to bite people in the rear.