How could a war between China and Taiwan play out? | Four Corners

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Published 2022-10-31
Tensions over Taiwan are the highest they’ve been in nearly three decades.

China has warned it will take Taiwan by force if necessary, while US military strategists are now mapping out war games to predict the impacts of a conflict.

They forecast it could become a brutal regional war, with casualties and carnage on a scale not seen since WWII.

It’s increasingly becoming a question of when – not if – China will launch an assault. Experts say it could be as early as 2025.

And Australia would play a key role in the conflict as it spills across the Pacific.

The investigation reveals how the US has been quietly building up its military assets in northern Australia, including plans to deploy nuclear capable B-52 bombers south of Darwin.

There are now fears that relationship could pull Australia deeper into any future conflict.

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All Comments (21)
  • I love the response of my commander " I don't spend my time worrying, I spend my time planning"
  • As an American who has served, I believe we are extremely fortunate to have allies like Australia, Great Britain, Japan and many more. Yes the U.S. is very powerful but I believe the greatest strength comes from fostering powerful alliances between free nations.
  • @Spike9803
    Australia and the US not only allies but a friends. The US and Australia have stood shoulder to shoulder in every major conflict in modern times. More important is that Australia is a country the US can count on, and vice-versa. The US, Canada, Great Britain, Australia and New Zealand stick together no matter what. There is deep affection in the US for Aussies, in fact I'm going to crack a Fosters right now. Cheers Mate!
  • @anonym9us
    Much love to you Americans;we here in Aussie do greatly appreciate your efforts and sacrifices for your friends like us here in Australia and the Pacific.
  • @6williamson
    One thing we can be sure of, whatever Gao says not to do is what we should do.
  • @BuddhaWho777
    Much love to the Aussies from America, we love and respect you. You are some of the best people on the planet.
  • As an American, we should be totally committed to helping any and all allies. Australian people are amazing and kind and deserve everything we could give to them.
  • China’s biggest problem is managing a large scale amphibious assault without being detected .It took the US and Britain three full scale amphibious assaults (North Africa , Sicily and Italy) before attempting Normandy and even then it was helped enormously because of a strategic surprise.
  • @thej7362
    Never underestimate your enemy. Remember, as much as both sides might hurl propaganda at each other, we are both at great stake.
  • Thanks to those Australians who support the US. My grandfather was among the first American troops to arrive in Australia during WW II. Fought along side Australians. I don't know any American that doesn't love the ANZACS and the UK. Thanks also for your help to Ukraine. These authoritarian barbaric dictatorships need to be dealt with.
  • When I went to Sydney, out of VN, in 1968, I was approached by an elderly lady who asked if " I was a Yank"? I told her yes that I was on R&R from VietNam. She was the only person in my military career who then said to me, "Thank you, we appreciate what you are doing, just as your fathers did for us in WW II!
  • To those following current world news and followed the news before WWI and WWII, It's very difficult to now say that WWIII is not inevitable. The tensions world wide now because nobody can get along, and all seem to have forgotten the horrors of war are building up to a powerkeg and inevitable world conflict, if not already there.
  • @ds0904
    Wow. Didn't know the US was this closely involved militarily with Australia. Thanks for the update
  • @tktkdiamond
    My veteran WW2 family that's left in there 90s continues to say we're repeating 1937 all over again with all the warning ⚠️ there just different players events and circumstances but the outcome remained the same it led to another catastrophic world war that wiped out almost 100 million people in only 7 years but the events that led up to it started in the end of the 20s into early 30s and the disturbing negative buildup way way before the Biggest Kaboom In Modern History that changed are earth and way life forever and paved the way to the next catastrophic mistake and mess the Korean War and Vietnam War that both cost us catastrophically on levels that has has stayed with us since that period time
  • @miketan4803
    Why do bullies always accuse others of bullying and aggression when they're the only ones at it? For whom the bell tolls, no one can afford to stand by if they value their own freedoms & family lest there's no one left to stand with them by the time the bullies come ...
  • @IrishCarney
    Uniting Germany and Austria was supposedly inevitable. It was portrayed as the culmination of the unfinished process of uniting all the various German states (Prussia, Bavaria etc) that had been apart for various historical reasons. Supposedly Berlin would supposedly never give up on it. And yet now basically nobody in Germany cares and there is no effort to merge the two countries. Beijing tries hard to portray taking Taiwan as inevitable, but it's not.
  • @Lin-eo5xu
    The First Question that should be asked before any of this is "Are the Taiwanese willing to fight for their so called Taiwan Independence?"