NVIDIA's Stock Valuation Is INSANE | Here Are the Numbers $NVDA Earnings Analysis
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Published 2023-11-22
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All Comments (21)
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Apologies for all of the errors in my first two attempts to post this. And thanks to all those who let me know the audio wasn't working & the DCF calculator had the wrong inputs!
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The 27% per year is deceiving. It assumes even growth. Do the math if eps is up years 1-2 say 150% and then slows to 40% for two years then 15% the remainder.
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Thanks Brian.
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The slight dip after earnings was a healthy regression. Hold. The future is very bright for $NVDA.
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Just to clarify, 27% growth over ten years, then hits a 3% wall thereafter?
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Nvda is growing rapidly with 100% growth rates, even when it slows it will go to 50%. Do not underestimate the AI revolution and do no forget who the King of AI is.
Those who think NVDA is expensive have zero clue how AI will transform industries and economies. -
Looking forward to seeing your 90 day update on NVIDIA!
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I personally appreciate the valuation talks you are adding to your channel. People really do get screwed by going into something exciting without having at least some level of understanding of the math that is required to make that investment worthwhile. If people believe the projections, they can go right ahead and buy; but without framing it out like this, one is vulnerable to making decisions based on FOMO. There are countless examples of companies with blistering growth rates that have gone through the double whammy of declining revenue and multiple contraction, crushing the stock. Not saying this is absolutely Nvidia's fate, but it doesn't hurt to think it through.
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Thoughts on AMD having a P/E ratio of 965 vs NVDA P/E ratio of 117?
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got hedge funds buying billions of dollars worth of chips, and meanwhile, computer sales are down the last 2 quarters... this stock is so manipulated I will laugh when these people all go to jail.
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funny thing is, earnings have gone up from 88cents to 4 dollars and the PE ratio still shows 120 on all finance web sites
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What happened to Enphase and SolarEdge can happen to Nvidia. Maybe it doesn't. But it wouldn't be a surprise.
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I want to see your chart again now with nvidia at $610, the growth YOY may need to be 45%
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32 forward
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Can you guys please run FICO through your framework every person in American has a fico score not much on the stocks Absolute run
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Nvidia right now is like Microsoft in 1990 at the beginning of the personal computing revolution. They have an absolutely dominant marketshare and are a critical piece of this rapid change that everything will be built around and off the back of, and very few can compete with them.
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So what is the right price to get NVDA?
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4 post quarter earnings total is 8.67 dollars which makes the current pe 12mo trailing = 55 š (not 120)
when this fiscal year ends for nvdia in may, their yearly earnings will be 16.6 dolars, (versus 2.7 previous year), at this price nvdia's PE will be 29
Other words, in may, with earnings of 16.6 dollars per year, a PE of 50 would make the stock price $830
I have been crushed last 2 earnings expecting the market to appreciate NVDIA, come may, things will all change -
Up over $100 in a month $nvda pt $450
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Why the all called Brian's